{"product_id":"9781394362554","title":"Decision Analysis for Management Judgment","description":"\u003ch1\u003eDecision Analysis for Management Judgment\u003c\/h1\u003e\u003ch3\u003ePaul Goodwin | George Wright\u003c\/h3\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\u003cb\u003eBusiness \u0026amp; Economics \/ Decision-Making \u0026amp; Problem Solving\u003c\/b\u003e\u003c\/div\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAPPLYING DECISION ANALYSIS FOR EFFECTIVE MANAGEMENT JUDGMENT ACROSS DIVERSE FIELDS\u003c\/b\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eSound decision-making is essential for success in today’s complex organizational environments. Now in its sixth edition, \u003ci\u003eDecision Analysis for Management Judgment\u003c\/i\u003e provides students and professionals with the tools and insights needed to make informed, rational choices in the face of uncertainty. \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003eWritten for managers and students without advanced mathematical training, this leading textbook clearly explains a wide range of decision analysis techniques while addressing the psychological biases and pitfalls that often undermine judgment. Throughout the text, authors Paul Goodwin and George Wright combine behavioral insights with practical analytical tools, bridging the gap between foundational theory and real-world practice. \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003ePresenting complex concepts in a clear, accessible style suitable for both students and professionals, \u003ci\u003eDecision Analysis for Management Judgment \u003c\/i\u003eis an invaluable resource for anyone tasked with evaluating alternatives, anticipating future scenarios, and balancing multiple objectives in professional contexts. It is ideal for upper-level undergraduate, MBA, and executive education courses in decision analysis, management judgment, strategic planning, and environmental planning. \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eNEW TO THIS EDITION:\u003c\/b\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cul\u003e\n\u003cli\u003e Introduces the role of artificial intelligence in decision-making, highlighting benefits, limitations, and future potential\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Provides a step-by-step guide to applying the Intuitive Logics method of scenario planning\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Demonstrates a streamlined approach for integrating scenario planning with multi-attribute decision analysis\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e New practical examples illustrating successful applications of decision analysis and scenario planning\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Includes the latest psychological research on multi-attribute decision-making and behavioral “nudges”\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Incorporates the SPIES method for estimating probability distributions and expands coverage of the Delphi method with recommendations for robust implementation\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003eAdds Cooke’s Classical Method for aggregating expert probability judgments and discusses the success of superforecasters\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003c\/ul\u003e \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eWILEY ADVANTAGE:\u003c\/b\u003e \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cul\u003e\n\u003cli\u003e Provides a reader-friendly introduction to decision analysis without requiring advanced mathematical knowledge\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Integrates behavioral insights to address psychological biases that can undermine managerial judgment\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Covers a wide range of qualitative and quantitative decision analysis techniques applicable to real-world problems\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Applies concepts to diverse contexts, including business, public administration, and environmental planning\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Encourages active learning through end-of-chapter exercises that reinforce understanding and critical thinking\u003c\/li\u003e \u003cli\u003e Supports flexible teaching approaches with a companion website containing additional exercises, case studies, quizzes, and simulations\u003c\/li\u003e\n\u003c\/ul\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\u003cdiv\u003e  \u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePAUL GOODWIN\u003c\/b\u003e is Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, UK. His research focuses on the role of judgment in forecasting and decision-making. A Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters, he has consulted for numerous organizations and served as editor of the \u003ci\u003eInternational Journal of Forecasting \u003c\/i\u003eand the “Hot New Research” column in \u003ci\u003eForesight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting\u003c\/i\u003e for twenty years.  \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eGEORGE WRIGHT \u003c\/b\u003eis Professor at the University of Strathclyde, UK, and Director of Scenario Associates Ltd. His research examines the role and quality of judgment in anticipating the future. He is editor of both the \u003ci\u003eJournal of Behavioral Decision Making and Futures \u0026amp; Foresight Science\u003c\/i\u003e. He has delivered workshops and consultancy in scenario planning for organizations worldwide. \u003c\/p\u003e\n\u003c\/div\u003e\u003cbr\u003e\u003ctable\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003ePublication Date: \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003e23 March 2026\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003ePublisher: \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003eWiley\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003eImprint: \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003eWiley\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003eISBN-13: \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003e9781394362554\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003eFormat: \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003ePaperback \/ softback\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003ePage Count: \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003e496\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003ctr\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003eWeight (oz): \u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003ctd\u003e24.0\u003c\/td\u003e\n\u003c\/tr\u003e\n\u003c\/table\u003e","brand":"Wiley","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":44421671649420,"sku":"9781394362554","price":78.26,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0710\/9545\/1788\/files\/9781394362554_323a1e52-5e4e-43ed-82e7-3a23c81da7b3.jpg?v=1780282524","url":"https:\/\/fh90cf-fv.myshopify.com\/products\/9781394362554","provider":"Late Knight Books and Services, LLC","version":"1.0","type":"link"}