{"product_id":"9780792368335","title":"European Studies of Population: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective","description":"\u003ch1\u003eEuropean Studies of Population: Insights from a Statistical, Demographic and Epidemiological Perspective\u003c\/h1\u003e \u003ch2\u003eTabeau, E.; van den Berg Jeths, Anneke; Heathcote, Christopher\u003c\/h2\u003e \u003cp\u003eInformation on future mortality trends is essential for  population forecasts, public health policy, actuarial studies, and  many other purposes. Realising the importance of such needs, this  volume contains contributions to the theory and practice of  forecasting mortality in the relatively favourable circumstances in  developed countries of Western Europe. \u003cbr\u003e  In this context techniques from mathematical statistics and  econometrics can provide useful descriptions of past mortality. The  naive forecast obtained by extrapolating a fitted model may give as  good a forecast as any but forecasting by extrapolation requires  careful justification since it assumes the prolongation of historical  conditions. On the other hand, whilst it is generally accepted that  scientific and other advances will continue to impact on mortality,  perhaps dramatically so, it is impossible to quantify more than the  outline of future consequences with a strong degree of confidence. The  decision to modify an extrapolation of a model fitted to historical  data (or conversely choosing not to modify it) in order to obtain a  forecast is therefore strongly influenced by subjective and judgmental  elements, with the quality of the latter dependent on demographic,  epidemiological and indeed perhaps more general considerations. The  thread running through the book reflects therefore the necessity of  integrating demographic, epidemiological, and statistical factors to  obtain an improvement in the prediction of mortality.\u003c\/p\u003e \u003ch3\u003eDetails\u003c\/h3\u003e \u003cp\u003ePublished by: Springer\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePublication Date: 2001-02-28\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eFormat: Hardcover\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eISBN-13: 9780792368335\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDOI: 10.1007\/0-306-47562-6\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003eDimensions: 234cm x156cm\u003c\/p\u003e \u003cp\u003ePages: 306\u003c\/p\u003e ","brand":"Springer Netherlands","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":45548426625164,"sku":"9780792368335","price":152.99,"currency_code":"USD","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0710\/9545\/1788\/files\/9780792368335.jpg?v=1770783472","url":"https:\/\/fh90cf-fv.myshopify.com\/products\/9780792368335","provider":"Late Knight Books and Services, LLC","version":"1.0","type":"link"}